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Gooliaff, T.J.
Spatiotemporal patterns and reliability of bobcat and Canada lynx occurrence records in British Columbia
2018  Full Book

Understanding the distribution of a species is imperative for proper management and conservation to occur, especially in the wake of climate change and other biotic and abiotic changes that are currently occurring across the globe. Numerous species are shifting their ranges in response to these changes; tracking these shifts is the first step in conserving current and future habitats. Provincial or state-wide records, as well as citizen science, can be used to estimate broad-scale distributions, whereas camera trapping has become a common tool for detecting species at smaller scales. However, cryptic and elusive species such as mesocarnivores are difficult to monitor. Here, I use bobcats (_Lynx rufus_) and Canada lynx (_L. canadensis_) in British Columbia, Canada, as a case study to examine the data sources available for mapping mesocarnivore distributions, use those data to assess whether bobcat and lynx distributions have undergone any shifts over the past century, and determine whether these very similar-looking species can be reliably identified from camera images. I estimated the distributions of bobcats and lynx in BC using five independent data sources. Trapping records, hunting records, vehicle-kill records, trapper surveys that I distributed, and images that I solicited from the public all indicated that bobcats were restricted to southern BC, whereas lynx occurred throughout most of the interior of the province. I used trapping records and trapper surveys to determine whether bobcats or lynx have shifted their range in BC; these data suggest that distributions have remained stable over the past century. Lastly, I measured agreement among experts in classifying images of bobcats and lynx, and revealed that even experts find it difficult to distinguish between bobcats and lynx from camera images; agreement among experts in their classifications of the images was poor, and experts were inconsistent when asked to reclassify images weeks later.

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