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Devenish-Nelson, E.A.
Sarcoptic mange and the demography of the red fox, _Vulpes vulpes_
2012 Full Book
Compartment modelling of a sarcoptic mange outbreak in an urban fox population in Bristol, UK, revealed that disease transmission was frequency-dependent, consistent with contact rates being determined by social interactions rather than by population density. Individual-based modelling suggested that indirect transmission, genetic resistance and long-distance recolonisation were required to replicate the observed rapid spread of mange and subsequent population recovery. Thus, this first attempt to model mange dynamics in this canid provided novel insight into previously uncertain epidemiological and behavioural processes in the transmission of sarcoptic mange in the red fox. Model selection results for fitting probability distributions to carnivore litter size frequencies were also tested cheetah, puma, Iriomote cat, Iberian lynx, Siberian tiger, jaguar, lion, leopard and ocelot.
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